Author: J

Categories
NWSL Soccer Thorns

Takeaways: Thorns 0, Royals 0

The Portland Thorns have been resting on their laurels since their 2022 NWSL championship season and have not worked to cultivate a new identity in the two seasons since. After an uninspiring 0-0 draw to the worst team in the league, the Utah Royals, on Saturday night at altitude, it’s clear that the eight-week Olympic break cannot come soon enough. 

There are a multitude of valid reasons why the club has been in purgatory for several years, most notably being the sale of the club from Merritt Paulson’s cold hands. The ownership tumult has further complicated the club’s ability to find a permanent, competent head coach to step in after Rhian Wilkinson’s resignation. The club has been slowly leaking world class players from that 2022 squad, and they have not brought in many replacements. Coupled with the lack of tactics and willingness to change and adapt from former head coach Mike Norris and current interim Rob Gale, it seems almost like a miracle that Thorns have managed to dig out a niche in fifth place in the NWSL standings. (Even that placement feels less impressive when we’re reminded that over half—the top eight of 12—teams qualify for the postseason.)

It almost feels futile to try and break down the team’s tactics when it’s the same each week (get the ball to Portland’s wingers, who then are tasked with taking on the defense one-vs-one to get to goal), and the rest of the league has figured the Thorns out. But alas, I will try to. 

Against Utah, Gale chose to start Nicole Payne at right back and Reyna Reyes at left back, relegating the Thorns’ best defender, Marie Müller, to the bench. Müller has been consistently leading the Thorns on several stats, including tackles, recoveries, and crosses, and post game Gale clarified that her absence was to allow her to rest after the many minutes put on her legs in recent games. Against a dismal attacking side that has only scored seven games thus far, it seemed like a reasonable action. However, Müller’s absence required Reyes to play on her much weaker left side to accommodate Payne at right back. Payne is a good pure defender, but is weak in possession. She made  one progressive pass and only had two touches in the Thorns’ attacking third. For a team that likes their outside backs to push high and join the attack, these numbers are dreadfully low. Reyes, in her sophomore season with the team, is seeing the field markedly less, mostly due to the competition at her best position, right back. Her strengths are opposite those of Payne; Reyes is better on the ball due to her time in midfield at the University of Alabama, but she lost all of her duels on the night against the Royals. Her attacking play was much better, with 13 touches in the final third and two in the Royals’ penalty box, but on her weaker foot, her passing and distribution suffered. 

Like Gale said post game, “sometimes you have to give credit to the opposition,” and the Royals were able to successfully mark the Thorns’ midfield out of the game. Hina Sugita and Sam Coffey have been the fulcrum of the Thorns’ build this season, and other teams have begun to realize that if they press them high, then the Thorns are forced to play through their wingers, who are much more easily dispossessed. The Royals’ press led to many misplaced and overhit passes, particularly from Coffey, which resulted in easy turnovers and put the Thorns right back on the defensive foot. Gale has been asking Hina to play deeper to allow for Coffey to push forward, and the two of them work very well together. Still, Hina and Coffey ended up accounting for one through ball between the both of them, which meant Sophia Smith severely lacked opportunities to show off her skills in behind the defense, and Portland’s attack suffered greatly. 

The other most puzzling part of the Thorns’ lineup on Saturday was the inclusion of Ana Dias as the starting No. 9, which pushed Smith out wide. Dias put on a show in the charity match midweek, scoring a hat trick, and I had hoped that her confidence would translate to the league game. Which unfortunately was not the case. In her 75 minutes , Dias had one accurate pass and three shots, none of which were on target. She had three touches in the Royals’ box, and only 0.1 expected goals. To put it bluntly, she had a very poor showing. While Dias’ signing was relatively low stakes for a player with only seven appearances for her country and who had been playing in the Russian league (i.e, not a very competitive one), the gamble has not paid off, and the Thorns’ offense is lacking as a result. That she plays in the No. 9 position exclusively forces the Thorns’ best player to play in a position that she is not as successful in, and means that the crosses and plays into the box that Smith does get off are oftentimes wasted by Dias. Against a team like Utah that has allowed 27 goals thus far, it was a reasonable gamble for Gale to take, but unfortunately, the team is paying for it.

The Thorns have one more game before they take an eight week break, and it’s against the incredibly lost San Diego Wave, who just fired their head coach. On paper, it’s a home game that the Thorns should win handily, but, if the Wave press high and are disciplined at the back, it could easily turn into another 90 minute slog. The Olympic break cannot come soon enough, and hopefully the pause will give the Bhathals a chance to finally make an announcement about which world-class coach will come in and take over, hopefully lifting the Thorns out of their holding pattern and back to the top of the table where they belong. 

Categories
NWSL Soccer Thorns

Takeaways: Orlando Pride 2, Portland Thorns 1

Photo by Kelsey Baker

The Portland Thorns’ unprecedented six-game winning streak was bound to come to an end eventually, and a clash against top-of-the-table (!!!!) Orlando Pride on a sweltering Florida Friday night finally did them in.

Initially listed on the pregame availability report as “questionable,” the Thorns went the entire 90 minutes without Sophia Smith, who was “just a day or two too early with the low leg injury,” according to interim head coach Rob Gale. Her injury is not severe or lengthy enough to keep her out of the USWNT camp this week, but hopefully Emma Hayes doesn’t make a bad first impression and play Smith before she’s 100% sound.

Going up against the league leaders and their driving force Barbara Banda, Gale needed to prove that he was more than just a vibes merchant and can tactically guide the team—especially without crucial the support pillar of Smith. 

Here is what he got right, and what he got wrong.

Right: Izzy D’Aquila

Making just her third appearance of the season—and longest yet at only 28 minutes—Izzy D’Aquila came on and took full advantage of the opportunity to play at her best position as the No. 9, something she rarely got the chance to do under former head coach Mike Norris, netting the first regular season goal of her career. 

Bringing on D’Aquila in the 62nd minute was a smart change by Gale, and he deserves credit where it is due, but unfortunately, he also needs to be held accountable for his initial starting XI and the poor showing of the first half.

Gale started a front line of striker Christine Sinclair, left winger Olivia Moultrie, and right winger Janine Beckie. Only one of those three players was playing in their preferred and strongest position, and only one of them is fast (the answer is Beckie to both). With no speed up top, the Thorns were absolutely smothered by the Pride’s press in the first half and could not break through. Portland only managed three shots (and only one on target) in the first half to Orlando’s 14, and they only had six touches in the Pride’s 18-yard box—an absolutely abysmal stat line for the Thorns.  

Once Sinclair was removed from the game, the pace picked up immediately. The Thorns tripled their number of shots and entered the Pride’s box 15 times. While Orlando’s halftime substitution of Banda very well could have been the reason for the Thorns’ increased number of touches and possession, adding the speed of both D’Aquila and Payton Linnehan to the front line was a tremendous help in allowing the Thorns to successfully press. 

The question going forward becomes: How can D’Aquila get on the field more as a No. 9 when Smith’s name is written in on the starting XI in that position in permanent ink? With Morgan Weaver out until after the Olympics in August at minimum, and Linnehan still unable to play major minutes, the Thorns lack options out wide. In the 2023 season, D’Aquila got some minutes out wide, but did not get any return on goal involvements. The best course of action moving forward, and to prevent Smith from picking up additional knocks that can keep her off the pitch, is for D’Aquila and Smith to split minutes at the No. 9. Besides the season opener against the Kansas City Current where Smith played 75 minutes, she has consistently gotten 85 or more minutes in each game. While the Thorns rarely had the commanding 2+ goal lead that might have given Gale the confidence to sub Smith off early, a valid argument could be made that against consistently weak teams like the Houston Dash, Angel City, and the Utah Royals, D’Aquila can get the start and the bulk of the minutes while Smith rests. 

Another option that requires Gale to be a bit more bold in his formations is to have Smith and D’Aquila start in a front two. This change would allow the Thorns to build up the pitch centrally—the region where they have had the most success since Gale took over—and D’Aquila can unleash the through balls she consistently played forward for fellow Bronco Kelsey Turnbow at Santa Clara.

Wrong: Jessie Fleming

On the whole, the Thorns’ midfield had a collectively bad game, and it was probably Sam Coffey’s worst performance in a Thorns jersey. The starting trio of Hina Sugita, Coffey, and Jessie Fleming were unable to possess the ball, and they routinely lost it to the Pride’s intense pressure. However, 11 games and eight starts into the season, I think it is a fair time to examine how well Fleming has adjusted to the league and question whether or not she is a starting-caliber player for the Thorns. 

Fleming was pulled from the game at halftime, after a 45 minutes where she was clearly the weakest link of the three midfielders, and replaced by Linnehan. The move allowed Moultrie to slide back to her more natural central position. In those 45 minutes, Fleming had 10 completed passes over 16 total touches, and she won none of her duels or tackles. 

With two coaches already in her short tenure at the Thorns, it is possible Fleming’s poor positioning is due to a lack of clear instruction and tactics from the coaches. But regardless, with the international and elite club-level experience that Fleming has under her belt at only 25, her field awareness should be much higher. 

Per FBref, Fleming is in the 50th percentile of progressive passes compared to other midfielders and in the 80th for progressive runs. As the player at the top of the Thorns’ midfield triangle, Fleming should be the most creative player, playing balls forward to unlock the Portland forwards. However, that is not the role that she has been playing. She more often than not opts for short, less than 10-yard passes either perpendicular or backward (an average of 56% of her passes per-90 minutes are short; an average of 40% are medium, between 15 and 30 yards).

Despite playing in that more advanced midfield role, Fleming only has one assist on the season and holds an average of 0.12 expected assists per 90 minutes. For comparison, Moultrie, in the same eight starts, has 0.21  expected assists and 0.42 expected goals and assists per 90 minutes. As the two players are competing for the same position, it’s fair to say at this point that Moultrie is the more productive player and should be starting in that attacking midfield role. Moving her into that space also opens up a spot on the wing for Linnehan to slide into. 

As of right now, Fleming is not fitting into the system that Rob Gale is trying to play, and by placing her into the midfield, other players like Moultrie and Sinclair are forced to play out of position, which ultimately hurts the team as a whole. Fleming’s hefty transfer fee, international resume, and Barclay’s experience does not—and should not—make her a guaranteed starter in the league. 

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NWSL Soccer Thorns

More Connections, More Assists, More Goals

Sophia Smith cuts the ball across her body to beat a Washington Spirit defender.
Photo by Matthew Wolfe.
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Categories
Soccer Thorns

Takeaways: Chicago Red Stars 0, Portland Thorns 2

Photo by Kelsey Baker.

The Portland Thorns’ new Ken-look-alike interim head coach Rob Gale has an undefeated record in the NWSL as Portland (finally) picks up their first home and road wins of the 2024 season. It’s been a slow and bumpy start to the season, and while it’s too early to make any calls on how competent Gale is as a coach, there is officially enough data to try and determine what type of team the Thorns are going to be under his interim tenure. 

Renewed sense of urgency
Photo by Kelsey Baker.

The Thorns conceded within the first 10 minutes of three of their four first games of the season. Luckily—or more likely, intentionally—Portland has flipped the script and were able to score first in the sixth and 10th minute of their last two matches. Postgame against Houston, Sophia Smith credited the fiery start to a change in the team’s warmup, something that ensures the team gets a taste of competition and “that fire in our blood flowing before we step on the field and the kickoff happens.” The new pregame ritual includes competitive games like rondos. 

“To win is the expectation,” Smith said. “This is the Thorns that we know.”

Olivia Moultrie said  these wins have felt like “the start of a new season for the Thorns,” as they set a new standard for performances going forward. 

The lineup
Photo by Kelsey Baker.

 Gale has not made many changes to the starting XI that the Thorns began the season with, but the two he did make made all the difference. Firstly, Hina Sugita has played 90 minutes in both games, compared to being a second-half sub under former head coach Mike Norris. Hina a versatile player that needs to be on the pitch and can slot in pretty much anywhere in the front six. She played as a box-to-box midfielder in both games, connecting 88% of her passes in those 180 minutes and earning one assist. Gale’s choice to exchange Hina for Moultrie in the starting XI balances out Portland’s midfield; as in the first few games of the year, we saw Moultrie and Jesse Fleming occupying many of the same spots, leaving empty gaps in the midfield for the opposition to play through. 

After the Houston game, Gale said the midfield “smothered Houston” due to their pressing, and he was right.

Hina, Sam Coffey, and Fleming started against Chicago as well and worked very well together, combining for nearly 86% passing accuracy going forward. It seems as though the Thorns have found their ideal midfield trio going forward. 

The passing map from the Houston game makes it clear that the Thorns have well-executed passing triangles, which result in quick give-and-goes up the side of the pitch. The front three look a little wonky because Christine Sinclair and Smith frequently switch between center and wide forward, but the triangles are still there.

The Thorns are finally looking like the well-oiled machine that they have been in years past. I would also like to give a special shoutout to Isabella Obaze, who has looked remarkably strong and seasoned beyond her years in recent games, growing tremendously since that first showing in Kansas City. 

Gale starting Sinclair up front was a very curious (and unpopular) choice, but it allows Janine Beckie to come off the bench against tired legs, which is where she shines. After an ACL injury and a poor 2022 season, Beckie is still trying to find her footing on an attacking-heavy Thorns roster, especially with Payton Linnehan impressing in her early minutes. Sinclair, interchanging with Smith up top, has really surprised me. In the last two games she has one goal and one assist, showing that she can still be productive. I liked the Thorns using her to set a tempo and mindset early, and I think her presence up top helps ground the team as they work through their early-game jitters. Even if Sinclair’s speed and touch isn’t what it used to be, her mind is definitely still there. 

Photo by Kelsey Baker
The keeper issue

Shelby Hogan posted her first clean sheet of the season on Saturday, making three saves against Chicago. While her decision-making on the line was sharper than in previous games, Hogan’s distribution and ability to build out of the back still remained a major issue for the Thorns, as she gave the ball away in compromising positions numerous times and was bailed out by the woodwork. Prior to the game against Houston, the Thorns signed Mexican international Emily Alvarado from the Dash to provide competition for Hogan for the starting role. It was a move that makes sense at first, but upon closer investigation, leaves a little to be desired. I have been an advocate that, with Bella Bixby out on maternity leave, Portland needs an experienced keeper available for training and games. The Thorns started the season with three keepers who had played in two NWSL regular season games between them, the most inexperienced goalkeeper union in the league. 

Here is where the confusion lies: Alvarado also has zero NWSL regular season minutes, having served as Jane Campbell’s backup since Houston acquired her from Stade de Reims in early 2023. While she does have 39 starts in the D1 Arkema, she conceded 66 goals in those games. With the Thorns still working on building chemistry across their back line, bringing in another inexperienced keeper doesn’t make much sense. At this point, why not give Lauren Kozal a try in her second year with the team? Or even Kat Asman, who the Thorns drafted 39th overall and who has been with the team since the beginning of preseason. With a three-game week, I assume that we will see Alvarado in goal against Bay FC on Wednesday, and I am curious to see if her distribution and ability to organize the backline is any stronger than Hogan’s currently is. 

Photo by Kelsey Baker.

The Thorns’ one and only three-league-game week is this week, with the Bay and the Washington Spirit on deck for Wednesday and Sunday, respectively. It will be Gale’s first real test to see how he manages minutes for players to try to get nine points from the week. 

Categories
Soccer

Takeaways: Portland Thorns 2, Racing Louisville 2

Photo by Kris Lattimore

The Portland Thorns are off to their slowest start in their 12-year history, scraping one point from their first three games of the season (and only one in their last five games, all-competitions), and it’s a valid question to ask where everything is going wrong. For two games in a row, the Thorns have put out their best XI (minus Hina, who needs to be starting and is not, for some inexplicable reason), and in both games they have been outplayed. 

In the season opener against the Kansas City Current, the poor performance and shocking number of goals conceded could be fairly overlooked due to extenuating circumstances: a large portion of the starting XI had their minutes managed after coming back from the Gold Cup days prior, and the backline consisted of three players who were making their NWSL debuts. But this many poor showings in a row, the common denominator must be the coaching. There are too many talented players on the roster for each to individually be making repeated errors. I am going to attempt to break down why the Thorns’ current tactical approach is not working, and ultimately propose that new leadership is desperately needed. 

First, let’s look at the Thorns’ shape. This season, their go-to formation is a 4-3-3, with only two new Thorns featured in the lineup against Louisville: Marie Müeller at left back and Jessie Fleming as a box-to-box midfielder. From the whistle, it seemed clear the the Thorns were instructed to try to build the ball out of the back, beginning with familiar duo Becky Sauerbrunn and Kelli Hubly at center back. The two of them have been playing together for four seasons now and should be extremely comfortable with one another. In the first image, we have Sauerbrunn on the ball, looking to begin to build. Both the left back (Müeller) and right back (Reyna Reyes) are pushed wide and high and wide along the touchlines, so much so that Müeller is out of frame. The Racing Louisville front three are pressing high and have eliminated most of the Thorns’ passing lanes, forcing Sauerbrunn to pass square to Hubly, which ultimately does not move the ball in a productive manner. 

In the second image, the ball has moved wide left to Müeller on the touchline. Once again she is isolated, with not many players cutting in and looking to become an option, forcing her to play backwards toward Olivia Moultrie or Sauerbrunn. While these two stills are from the opening minutes of the game, they are reflective of how the Thorns spent the first half, especially with Norris sitting up in the press box, unable to provide tactics or changes to the players. 

Based on OPTA’s “Zone of Control,” the Thorns have the most ball control and touches through the center of the field. With talented wingers like Reyes and Müeller, it would be in the team’s best interest to try and activate them in the wings, providing a different look that does not rely on Sophia Smith taking on three players successfully to earn her team a shot on goal.

Now, let’s take a look at the build-up that led to Racing Louisville’s first goal. The play starts with Hubly at the center circle, as she looks to move the ball forward to Janine Beckie, who is crashing in. Instead, Louisville player Uchenna Kanu intercepts the ball and is able to start a fast break. There are two main issues with this play. First, the Thorns are once again looking first to play through the center of the pitch—even though most of Portland’s players are grouped together further up the pitch and are not immediate passing options.

Over the course of all three games, it has become clear that head coach Mike Norris’s number one strategy is to get the ball up to Smith, who’s playing high and central as the No. 9, and allow her to work her individual magic. Unfortunately, other teams have caught on to the fact that Smith is the best player in the league, which means they often will have two or three defenders marking her. This means that the Thorns will have several open players, which, frustratingly, they never seem to find. Instead, they are choosing to move the ball through the congested center of the pitch, where Louisville is pressing high, which leads to frequent turnovers. 

The buildup to the second goal, which came only two minutes later, was the same. Louisville was able to capitalize off of an errant pass from Portland’s backline and to get off a cross. A two-vs-one in the box (including 1.75m Hubly versus 1.53m Kanu) ended with Kanu sending a looping header into the side netting. (Editor’s note: That’s 5’9″ for Hubly and 5’8″ for Kanu, for those of us who aren’t living in Ireland.) Just like that, before the game had even really begun, the Thorns found themselves deep in a hole of their own creating. 

I am not asking the Thorns to play like Prime Barcelona, but it is incredibly frustrating to see the same tactics being deployed over the first three games, all while getting incredibly disappointing results. It is not enough to expect “grit” and “relentlessness”—as Norris spoke of in the post-match presser—to come through and save points for the team in the end. Portland needs strong tactics and an identity, both of which they are currently lacking. 

Norris said that these errors, “did not define the team today”—a statement that seems at odds from the product on the pitch, which has been consistently below standards across all three games. The Thorns have allowed eight goals so far this season—the most of any team in the league—and show no sign of closing the dam unless there is a serious switch-up in tactics and coaching for the team. 

Categories
NWSL Soccer Thorns

Takeaways: KC Current 5, Portland Thorns 4

Photo by Kris Lattimore

When the Portland Thorns lost Emily Menges, Crystal Dunn, Rocky Rodríguez, and Natalia Kuikka during the offseason, there were plenty of jokes that the Thorns were going to win every game 4-3 in 2024. In 2023, the Thorns allowed the third most goals in the NWSL, behind only the floundering Chicago Red Stars and Kansas City Current. Despite that, they still ended with the best goal differential amongst all teams, establishing the precedent for a high-scoring front line and leaky defense. Add the fact that the Thorns started three brand-new-to-the-NWSL defenders on Saturday’s opening game against Kansas City, and the 5-4 scoreline was to be expected. 

Putting the goals aside, when rewatching the game with a clearer mind and less emotions, there isn’t reason to pull the panic alarm on the Thorns’ season—yet. In an effort to be less of a pessimist this season, here are some positives to take away from the Thorns’ 2024 season debut:

1. The didn’t roll over and die after conceding early and in quick succession

I’m sure we all remember the horrific 5-1 loss to Angel City to close out the 2023 season and watch the shield slip from the Thorns’ grasp. While the Thorns now hold the cursed record of being the first team to allow five goals in back-to-back regular season games, the two performances couldn’t be more different. The worrying trend last season was that once the Thorns went behind, it would lead to the opposition scoring again, rather than the Thorns fighting back to end on top. Although they didn’t manage to complete their comeback against Kansas City to salvage a point, they did manage to come back from being 1-5 down to end the game 4-5.  

The individual efforts of Janine Beckie and Sophia Smith can’t be discounted in the comeback. Both players scored braces and led by example, quickly grabbing the ball out of the net and pushing the Current to restart quickly. It is this type of attitude that I want to continue over the course of the season. Postgame, both Beckie and Thorns head coach Mike Norris talked about the team’s halftime changes, with Beckie saying that there are a lot of “what ifs” in a game, and that they needed to keep going “one goal at a time”—exactly what the team did.  

2. Janine Beckie did the impossible: came from from a long-term ACL injury better than she was before

Beckie returned to the field 366 days after her initial ACL injury at Providence Park (we were still in the beginning of preseason this time last year!), and now she has the unique distinction of being more in-form than she was before the injury. While it may be premature to predict her play for the rest of the season based on 45 minutes of game time, Beckie looked the sharpest player on the field. Her two goals were outstanding, and showed a marked improvement on her accuracy and finesse. Assuming she will only grow stronger and more fit over the next several months, she will become a real threat. In the 2022 season, Beckie played 19 games and only recorded two assists. She has already exponentially increased her output. 

3. Plenty of time for the team to gel; this is going to be the longest regular season yet

With only three preseason games, one open to the public and two behind closed doors, the Thorns had very little time to play together in a game-like environment. Add the fact that six players were gone for a month at the Women’s Gold Cup, and makes sense why it looked like the Thorns had never met one another in the first half of play. Postgame, Norris said he is slowly working on reintegrating the players that had been absent for the majority of preseason, and the balance of including these Gold Cup players and those who weren’t on international duty was off. The biggest coaching fumble came on the decision of who to start on the back line. Kelli Hubly was the only returning player, and has historically been more of a follower than a leader, often being paired as second to Menges or Becky Sauerbrunn. She had a big ask on Saturday to lead the line, and unfortunately she did not pass the test. Alongside her was Isabella Obaze, Marie Müeller, and Nicole Payne, all of whom made their NWSL debuts. Of the debutantes, Obaze impressed me most, collecting an assist and completing 41 of 43 passes. Her long balls and passes into the final third were enticing, and with more time to train with Sauerbruun, she could become a formidable center back. 

The largest omission to the starting back line was Reyna Reyes. She is coming off a very strong rookie campaign, where she moved into a starting role over club legend Meghan Klingenberg, and has a commanding presence on the field. Alongside brand-new players, Reyes could have helped to anchor and guide the team from the back. Despite being at the Gold Cup with Mexico, Reyes’ familiarity with Noris’ tactics and game plan would have been a huge asset. She came on in the final 15 minutes and was immediately a difference maker, winning tackles and aerial duels, alongside making four recoveries—rate better than Hubly’s three over the course of the entire ninety minutes. 

With 26 regular season games, there is more wiggle room for dropped points, and dropping them early is okay, so long as we see continued growth over the course of the season. If the Thorns are still looking this disjointed next month, then alarm bells can be raised. 

4. New goalkeeper coach—can he teach the Thorns’ goalkeeper union how to improve their distribution? 

Nadine Angerer stepped away from the coaching staff in the offseason, and the Thorns brought in Australian Jordan Franken in her stead. He formerly coached the Australian Women U-23 and U-20 teams, as well as Melbourne City in the A-League. Having only been in Portland since the beginning of March, it’s fair to say that he hasn’t had much time to work with any of Portland’s keepers. However, the best keeper of the weekend, Lysianne Proulx for Bay FC, who made a whopping eight saves in her league debut, credits Franken as “instrumental in her development.” If Proulx is a marker for the type of style and play that Franken teaches, I am excited to see how much Shelby Hogan et al. can grow under his tutelage. 

To put it bluntly, Hogan did not have a good game on Saturday. With Bella Bixby out pregnant and Lauren Kozal and Kat Asman yet to make their NWSL debuts, Hogan is the defacto Thorns No. 1 for the start of the season. While I haven’t been able to attend training to see how Asman and Kozal are fairing against Hogan, I think it is the right call to play Hogan ahead of them, simply because there is so much change at the back for the Thorns. Hogan’s, albeit minimal, NWSL experience can help settle a nervy defense. In her appearances last season, including the start in the Thorns’ sole playoff game, Hogan’s weakness has always been her distribution. She is a good shot-stopper and a penalty kick god, but she isn’t good with her feet. Against KC, she only completed 13 of 21 passes and 6 of 13 long balls. For a team that wants to build out of the back and through their midfield, a successful buildup needs to start with a quality distribution from the keeper. The Current’s first goal came directly off of a major error by Hogan, who passed the ball straight to Debinha. These types of errors cannot happen by a starting level keeper in the NWSL. 

The other major error that Hogan repeated was hesitating and reacting too late. Poor defense—allowing the Current’s forwards to easily slice through to goal—aside, KC’s second and third goal were the result of Hogan coming out early but stopping around the PK mark, which allowed an open angle for the Current to shoot from. If she is going to come out and be aggressive, she needs to commit to it. Otherwise, she should stay on her line to give herself the best shot at stopping the shot. Maybe it was nerves, but we have seen Hogan be aggressive in the box, and her confidence needs to be brought back up to where it was. 

5. New ownership means we can finally leave the holding pattern that the Thorns have been in since MarPar left

Prior to this most recent offseason, the Thorns had not made a non-Canadian major signing since Hina Sugita in January 2022, which Mark Parsons and Merritt Paulson can take most of the credit for. Around the league, teams have seen an influx of international talent join their rosters, while the Thorns have been looking in from the outside. With the Bhathal family officially owners, the Thorns have begun their new era, and with it comes new recruits. There are still three international spots open on the roster; with the European season wrapping up shortly, I am keeping my eyes open for another elite striker, as well as a seasoned center-back to join the team. 

Categories
NWSL Soccer Thorns

The End of an Era: Thorns 0, Gotham 1

Photo by Matthew Wolfe.

You can’t give me back what you’ve taken

But you can give me something that’s almost as good

—The Mountain Goats “Getting Into Knives”

Despite finishing second overall in a very close NWSL season, the Portland Thorns had been on a downward trajectory since the World Cup in August. Following a 4-2 win at home against Washington Spirit in July, the Thorns went 4-7-2 in all competitions. Most notably for the high-scoring Thorns, however, is that in their last five games (semi-final included), Portland only scored two goals while allowing eight. There are a host of reasons for why the team never seemed to regain composure after the World Cup break, but they boil down to two things: a roster that isn’t as deep as its best 11 players and a complete absence of tactics. 

After a brutal 1-5 loss to Angel City—which lost the NWSL shield for Portland—the Thorns had to wait three weeks to play their next game. In that time, Hina Sugita went to Uzbekistan, Natalia Kuikka went to Finland, Cristine Sinclair to Canada, and Olivia Moultrie, Sophia Smith, Becky Sauerbrunn, Sam Coffey, and Crystal Dunn went across the United States. That’s the majority of the Thorns’ starting XI across the entire season gone during the preparation for their single most important game, without considering the extra minutes on legs and time zone changes that went along with international duty. For players like Smith, the break was a chance to build back up game minutes, but for players like Moultrie and Coffey, who either did not see the field or played limited minutes, it was more of an extended training away from the Thorns. That wasn’t ideal for a player as crucial as Coffey for a team that had been leaking goals left and right. 

The international break also factored into the XI eleven for the semifinal game against New Jersey/New York Gotham FC. The two outfield changes from the Angel City game were Kuikka and Hina, who were replaced by Reyna Reyes and Rocky Rodríguez, respectively. Hina has probably been the Thorns’ most consistent player all season behind Sam Coffey, and being able to bring her off the bench is an asset; perhaps if she had started the game as she had the last time the Thorns faced Gotham, the game could have been wrapped up in 90 minutes. Reyes, on the other hand, played her way into the starting XI—and deservedly so—but perhaps starting Kuikka and Reyes against the fast front line of Gotham would have been more effective. 

The biggest change of the night, however, was Shelby Hogan’s selection over Bella Bixby. In probably the boldest move of his tenure, head coach Mike Norris gave Hogan her second regular season start in the team’s biggest game. He said postgame that the change was performance-based, which is a valid assessment of Bixby’s recent form. As much as I love and appreciate Bella Bixby’s personality and vulnerability as a player, I think getting benched in such a crucial moment is what she needs in order to reset herself. None of that takes away the fact that Hogan is an excellent keeper, the lone goal she let in was borderline-unstoppable for any keeper, and she is capable of being a first-choice keeper. Hogan ended the night with two saves, but she was not very busy over the course of the 120 minutes. 

Statistically, the game was a stalemate. The Thorns ended with 0.62 xG and 11 total shots to Gotham’s 0.50 xG and 13 total shots. Gotham had 20 fouls (four yellow cards) while the Thorns had 18 (one yellow). Both teams had four corners. On paper, there was little separation between the two sides. The game was won and lost on the sidelines, with coaching, and with the bench. 

Over the course of those 120 minutes, Norris only made two impactful subs: Hina and Kuikka at the 60th minute for Rodríguez and Meghan Klingenberg. Smith, whose longest stretch of minutes since she got injured in August was 45 minutes for the USWNT, played the entire game, despite looking visibly fatigued and not as effective as she could have been. Morgan Weaver, who had tape around her left knee, also looked as though she was nursing an injury, as her speed, finesse, and power were absent along the left flank. Dunn has been dealing with an ankle injury for many weeks now, as well. 

The Thorns are consistently talked about as having one of the deepest rosters in the NWSL, but a more accurate statement is that their best 11 players are among the best in the league, if not world. The drop off in quality once these eleven are subbed off or injured is quite noticeable. For example, in the 116’ Hannah Betfort, Christine Sinclair, and Michele Vasconcelos came on for Weaver, Moultrie, and Dunn. Sinclair aside, Vasconcelos and Betfort have seen sporadic minutes over the course of the season to varying levels of productivity. While they are decent players—and could really shine at a mid-table team—there is a vast canyon between them and Weaver and Smith, who they typically come on for. By not having any serious game changers available off the bench, Norris had his hands tied when his game plan was not working and he had no good options to try something new. 

While it is important that the core of the championship winning team (i.e. the same players that both former head coach Rhian Wilkinson and Norris used in their XIs) came back for the 2023 season, there was no recruitment outside of the college draft to try and bolster the depth of the team and challenge these top players for starting spots. Once Janine Beckie, one of the better additions over the past two years, went down with an ACL tear in preseason and no signing was made to replace her, the writing was on the wall that there was going to be little to no investment into the team this year. Reyes is probably the best addition to the team, as seen by her nod on Sunday. But other than her, the new recruits hardly featured. Izzy D’Aquilla got minutes at the beginning of the season, but her time waned significantly as it became clear she was having a hard time adjusting to NWSL play from college. Adriana Leon, a weird fluke of a loan most likely to help her build minutes for Canada before the World Cup, barely saw the field, and Rikke Seveke has not made a gameday roster since her signing. It’s hard to attract top talent to Portland when an impending sale has been looming over the club for nearly a year, the team is led by an inexperienced head coach, and the squad plays and practices solely on turf. Ultimately, the lack of competition for roster spots among players cost the Thorns the chance to challenge for the title again, because there was no adequate depth when players went down with injury or hit a run of bad form. 

It’s anyone’s guess as to when the Instagram post goes up saying that the Thorns wish Norris all the best and “thank him for his contributions as head coach,” but it is inevitable. From his announcement, where everyone was “Excited to get the season started 🙂 #RoseEmoji,” it was clear that the organization was in a holding pattern for the 2023 season. Postgame, Sauerbrunn said that the sale was expected to clear by the end of the year, and until that time, there probably won’t be anymore movement within the squad. However, waiting for the sale to be officially processed and to hire a new head coach leaves very little time to talk to free agents and prospective international players and convince them to join the new and improved Thorns. Until that happens, Portland is not going to be seen as a top soccer destination, which will seriously threaten their chances of building the squad depth that they need to win consistently next season. 

I feel as though every week I talk about Norris’ lack of tactics, so I won’t bear repeating myself again. For a first-time head coach, he relied on his star players, and for the most part that worked out well for him. I think with more experience, he could be decent. But the Thorns aren’t the team to learn to be great with; you already need to be great in order to get the job. I can only ask that the next head coach is able to actively switch tactics and game plans when something isn’t working instead of continuing to force a square peg into a round hole. 

It’s been a frustrating year to cover the Thorns, not due in any part to the players on the team. It’s been frustrating to see the players in press conferences take responsibility for bad tactics and leadership when in reality they’ve had little guidance. It’s been frustrating to watch the investment, marketing, and adequate training grounds flatline for a team that has set standards in the NWSL since 2013. And, of course, it’s been frustrating to watch Sam Coffey sit on the sidelines of so many USWNT games. I can only hope that this holding pattern that the team has been in since 2021 is over soon, that they can get an owner who puts their money where their mouth is, invests in the team, and attracts top players and coaches from across the world. Women’s soccer is exploding globally, and I fear that this offseason is crucial to make sure that the Thorns don’t fall behind even further. 

But, it’s also been a great year to cover the Thorns. Hannah Betfort had a breakout year, Reyna Reyes showed that she’s the future of the Thorns’ defense, Sophia Smith remained in God Mode, and Sam Coffey is such an incredible leader. Whatever happens over the offseason, the players that composed the roster these past two years are special.  

“The people in this locker room will never be the same after this year,” Sauerbrunn said postgame, “and we need to appreciate every single moment that we have together.” I think she’s right, and I hope that we have shown that we do appreciate the players, even when their organization repeatedly lets them down. 

There’s gonna come a day when you’ll feel better

You’ll rise up free and easy on that day

And float from branch to branch, lighter than the air

Just when that day is coming, who can say? Who can say?

— The Mountain Goats “Up The Wolves”

Categories
NWSL Soccer Thorns

Takeaways: Thorns 1, Angel City 5

Photo by Kris Lattimore

If I had a nickel for every time the Portland Thorns had a meltdown on the last day of the regular season that caused them to lose the shield, I’d have two nickels. Which isn’t a lot, but it’s weird that it happened twice. 

The Thorns suffered their worst beat of the season, and in recent memory, on the final day of the season in a horrible 5-1 loss to Angel City away from home. Going into the final day, the Thorns were in the driver’s seat, needing a win to secure the shield for the second time in three years—and to knock Angel City out of the postseason. Instead, everything went horribly wrong on the day. 

There aren’t any excuses for the way the Thorns played on Sunday afternoon. They had eight total shots (a season low), 0.68 expected goals from those shots, and generally looked lackluster on the field. Portland had more possession, more passes, and a higher passing accuracy than ACFC, but they couldn’t threaten Los Angeles’ goal. 

All season, the Thorns have been a tactical mystery. Head coach Mike Norris stuck with the majority of the same players starting and coming off the bench, with changes only coming through player injuries or international absences. There was an overall lack of adjustment when teams were able to break down the Thorns’ 4-4-2 and high press, and perhaps too heavy of a reliance on Sophia Smith’s godlike skills. But, even without a competent coach, the Thorns’ roster was stronger and much more capable of pulling off a win than Angel City’s, and they should have had the shield easily wrapped up. 

Meghan Klingenberg summed it up perfectly postgame, when she said, “The part that kills me is that we did this last year. You’re supposed to learn from moments that happen to you and your team in big games.”

Or like Sam Coffey said, “disappointed doesn’t cut it, or it’s not even the right word. I think I’m in shock.”

I, too, am in shock because on the whole, ACFC was not playing exceptional soccer (besides the Sydney Leroux bicycle kick). The other four of their goals came from egregious lapses in focus from the Thorns’ backline and keeper, which allowed Angel City to get free looks on goal. 

In the buildup to Angel City’s first goal, we can see two Thorns players (green marks) putting pressure on Leroux (pink circle). Neither one looking at M.A. Vignola (pink underline), who is looking for the through ball. Due to Natalia Kuikka and Emily Menges’ proximity to Leroux, Vignola can easily enter the box with a slipped pass and take on Bella Bixby one-on-one. That’s exactly what she does. 

Ignoring the horrible color grading of the broadcast, you can see where Vignola is a complete step ahead of Kuikka and in on goal. Bixby is standing in the middle of the six-yard box, watching the play. You can call it an exceptional shot, or you can call it a major goalkeeping error, but the bottom line is that Bixby gets beaten where a keeper should never be beaten: their near post. Both Kuikka getting burned on the outside and Bixby being beaten at the near post are simple positioning and concentration errors that should not happen for a team and players of the Thorns’ caliber. Unfortunately, these aren’t the only times they happened over those 90 minutes. 

Angel City’s third goal was almost an identical play on the same side of the pitch. In the shadows of the left side of the above image, Crystal Dunn is putting pressure on an ACFC player, who is able to get off a pass to an overlapping runner. Even if Dunn is an outstanding left back, she cannot physically mark two players at once. Once again, Kuikka (green circle) is not properly tracking her winger (pink circle), who suddenly finds themself in acres of space to pick out their final pass. 

The Angel City player doesn’t make the best choice and passes it right into traffic in the six-yard box, where it looks like they are covered both by Bixby and Kelli Hubly at the near post. So, how does this play end in a goal? Honestly, I have no idea. Maybe it would have been a weird fluke, but when it’s the third goal given up in one game in the same manner, it speaks more to a positional or structural error for the backline.

It does not seem as though the back four players are on the same page in terms of which opponents and what spaces they are supposed to be marking. Additionally, by having a starting midfield of Coffey, Christine Sinclair, Dunn, and Olivia Moultrie, Norris has essentially limited the number of players on the field, as Sinc and Moultrie do not track back as much as Dunn does. Without the double pivot of Coffey and Rocky Rodríguez, the central areas of the field are much more exposed. This forces Kuikka and Kling to pinch inwards more than they normally do, giving ACFC’s wingers acres of space. When going up against a team like Angel City—who, in their previous game, only listed two (2) defenders on their team sheet—you know that they are going to want to run at backlines the entire game. A reasonable choice would be to provide additional cover there in the form of the Coffey-Rodríguez double pivot. Instead, Norris chose to start Sinclair in a must-win game against a team full of young players. 

Angel City’s fifth (!!!!!!) goal came nearly immediately after Hina Sugita pulled one back for the Thorns. Once again, it came up the Thorns’ right side, attacking Kuikka, who had not been subbed out yet. Four players collapse around Alyssa Thompson at the edge of the 18-yard box, with Kuikka (green square) alone in the middle. Jun Endo (pink circle) is unmarked at the edge of the 18, squarely in front of goal. Thompson makes the pass in front of Kuikka, who cannot recover in time, and suddenly Angel City had regained their four-goal cushion. 

Thankfully, the game ended soon after that, and we didn’t have to watch the Thorns breakdown any further. Portland has struggled all season with consistency and stability in their games, and if there was ever a time to fix that problem it would be right now. They are guaranteed one more game—at Providence Park, no less—to show the world that they are a high-performing team who deserved to get the coveted bye into the semifinal rounds. But right now, they look like a team that doesn’t even deserve to be in the playoffs. 

Categories
Not Soccer

On the NWSL and Israel

Like a handful of other American sports leagues and teams, the National Women’s Soccer League decided to commemorate Indigenous Peoples’ Day by releasing a statement on the Israeli-Palestine conflict.

“The NWSL mourns the tragic loss of life in Israel and condemns acts of terrorism,” the league wrote. “We remain hopeful for peace in the region and around the world.”

This CNN interview clip with Mustafa Barghouti, a Palestinian activist and politician and a supporter of nonviolent resistance against Israel, does a good job of summarizing what is currently at stake:

We have no problem with the NWSL mourning “the tragic loss of life in Israel.” But to identify Israel as the only victim of civilian deaths is a blatant erasure of the fact that the Israeli military has been enacting that same violence on Palestinians in the decades leading up to last weekend. It is irresponsible for the league to take the events of last weekend and strip them of context. To call the civilian deaths in Israel “terrorism”—in of itself a loaded word, especially when it pertains to a country in the Middle East—without making the same claim about the Israeli military is to blatantly refuse to acknowledge that the Israeli government has condoned that same violence against Palestinians for decades. 

(It’s also worth noting that even nonviolent resistance to the Israeli military, like the Boycott, Divestment, and Sanctions movement, has been likened to terrorism; the crime here seems to be more about resisting against a genocidal military power that the United States happens to back than about actual harm to civilians.)

The irony shouldn’t be lost that the NWSL, an American soccer league, did not make a post about Indigenous Peoples’ Day—and instead chose to call for support of a violent colonizing group.

This isn’t the first time the NWSL has refused to take a stance that might be seen as controversial to the American mainstream; we’re honestly not surprised with what they said here, even if we’re disappointed. But backing the movement for a free Palestine—and opposing the Israeli military’s human rights abuses and the settler-colonial logic that favors their occupation of Palestinian land—should not be a controversial take for any person, or league, who truly wants to dismantle oppressive structures worldwide. 

— Leo and Jaiden

Categories
NWSL Soccer Thorns

Takeaways: Thorns 0, Wave 2

Photo by Kris Lattimore

It seemed as though the Thorns were picking up momentum headed down the final stretch of games coming off of a very positive 2-0 beating of OL Reign, but all that momentum sputtered to a halt in their Saturday night home defeat to the San Diego Wave this past weekend. All season the Thorns have been unable to string together three wins in a row across all competitions, which is puzzling due to the calibre of players on the team and the strong culture that the Thorns have been building over the past two years. 

Forgive me if I sound like a broken record, but I think that the lack of consistent success comes from head coach Mike Norris being too reliant on certain players and formations as opposed to adapting his deep roster to the specific tactics of the team that they’re playing. On paper, the Thorns are an incredibly dominant team. Against San Diego they had 1.10 expected goals to the Wave’s 0.53 from 15 total shots. Portland had a staggering nine corners and eleven additional crosses into the box. However, none of this attacking firepower was able to translate into a goal. 

Photo by Kris Lattimore

I may be biased because I voted for Morgan Weaver as the SPOTY, but it frequently felt as though Weaver was playing hero ball, trying to shoot from absurd angles and hoping that something would slip by Sheridan. Unfortunately, none of her team-leading five shots were on target. The lack of systemic breakdown of San Diego’s very strong defense meant that all of the Thorns’ closest chances came off of rebounds or parries by Sheirdan, which were few and far between. 

Oftentimes a team’s best eleven players on the team overall are the eleven in the starting lineup. However, because the Thorns have more than eleven starting-calibre players on their roster they have more freedom than most teams. Despite this, Norris heavily favours playing the same players in the same positions game after game. 

Looking at the breakdown of regular season minutes, the thing that stands out to me the most is the vast spread between the total minutes played for different players. Sam Coffey and Weaver are the only two players to have started and plate in every game, with Natalia Kuikka, Bella Bixby, Kelli Hubly, Meghan Klingenberg, and Crystal Dunn have started and played in over 90% of the games. That right there is seven out of eleven players consistently getting time together on the pitch, and should theoretically lead to a large amount of chemistry and consistency across games. So, why hasn’t that been the case? 

Of the 23 players who have earned regular season minutes this year, 10 of them have played over 1000 out of 1780 (56%) minutes. Nine players have less than 500 (28%) total minutes. Using Sam Coffey’s 1780 minutes as the highest number, 12 players have played more than 50% of the Thorns total regular season minutes, 890. These players are Bella, Kling, Natu, Kelly, Menges, Coffey, Sinc, Moultire, Hina, Dunn, Sophia Smith, and Morgan Weaver, which coincidentally is the lineup that Norris uses most weeks. Of course, injuries to players like Rocky and Becky Sauerbrunn affected their available minutes, as Norris has shown in the past two games that if they are available they will start. 

Players like Reyna Reyes and Michele Vasconcelos have earned not-insignificant minutes this year, but have largely gotten them coming off the bench, Reyes typically for Kling and Vasconcelos for Weaver. To go back to the game against the Wave, while Kling was an excellent service provider, she got burned on the wing by Rachel Hill and Jaedyn Shaw multiple times. Instead of recognizing this mismatch in the first half, where the Wave scored both of their goals, Norris decided to wait until the 74th minute to sub Reyes in, but took out Kuikka, not Kling, allowing the mismatch to continue. While Kling has much more experience and is an excellent defender, Norris cannot keep her in the game on principle, and instead must adjust his personnel to the game that is being played at that very moment. Maybe if Reyes had gone in at the half she would have been able to use her speed and dribbling skills to open up the left wing and systematically play Weaver in on goal. 

Post game, Norris said, “At halftime we addressed some things. We addressed the energy. We structurally changed a couple of things,” and I would like to argue against this idea. 

While technically the Thorns didn’t concede any more goals in the second half, they didn’t look any close to scoring any themselves. There were no formation or personnel changes at the half— it was as though Norris was instead relying on the individual brilliance of the players on the field in order to try and forge a comeback. Unfortunately, even in a league as competitive and chaotic as the NWSL, good tactics will always win out over the individual. 

Credit Arielle Dror

Looking at the passing network of the game, it’s clear that the Thorns heavily relied on the left side of the pitch. However, against a team as defensively sound as the Wave, if one path up the field is being consistently blocked, it’s probably time to try a different way, either more direct up the middle or up the right flank, as opposed to sending in the same passes for Weaver to try her luck on. Adding a player like Moultrie on the field as a ten would be a great idea. Her visionary passes through backline are one of her strongest assets and should have been used as a way for Betfort and her speed or Weaver and her runs to get behind the backline. Unfortunately Moultrie didn’t get enough time on the pitch to showcase her brilliance. 

Photo by Kris Lattimore

The Thorns have one more home game before the playoffs begin, and it’s probably too late in the season to expect a sudden change of tactics from Norris, who has been so stubborn all season, but I do hope that next year the new coach uses the full depth of the Thorns’ roster.