With this website of ours having existed for a thrilling week and a half, the Timbers’ season underway, and the Thorns just having commenced their preseason, we would like to open the floor up to questions.
We want to know what you want to know.
And, darn it, we want to answer what you want to know.
So give us your questions on the Thorns, the Timbers, Tyler’s current playlist, or whatever else might come to mind, and we will attempt to get you an answer.
How do you ask us these questions, you might ask?
Simple: join our Patreon, get on our Discord, and swing by the Q&A channel to submit your questions. We will try to answer them all in the channel before picking some on which to go a little deeper here on the Rose City Review.
Plus, once you are in the Discord, you can stick around and have a chat with all of us and your fellow Review readers.
All the best,
The Rose City Review
P.S. We will be answering questions on the Discord tomorrow (Wednesday) evening, so make sure to get yours in!
After six matches—some of which we saw and some of which we did not—we are starting to get an idea as to who the 2020 Portland Timbers are and who they could be.
On the road against Costa Rican sides Deportivo Saprissa, Municipal Grecia, and C.S. Herediano the Timbers went 3-0 with a combined score of 8-2. Despite four months of hungering for soccer from Timbers fans, little information and even less video from these matches is available to the public. The opposition lineups from those three games against a freshly convened Timbers side remain unknown, but both Saprissa and Herediano are known quantities in CONCACAF: Saprissa took the Montreal Impact to penalties in their Champions’ League matchup earlier this week before falling to the Canadians and Herediano are the 2019 Liga FPD Apertura Champions.
At home against MLS opposition, however, it was a different story. Timbers fans were able to see their side in person at Providence Park during the preseason for the first time in three years, but what they did see was clearly not the finished product.
After the Timbers beat the Vancouver Whitecaps on a penalty kick and a hotly debated ball that was either a lucky cross or an absurd shot (depending on how much faith you have in the killer instinct of Andy Polo), things quickly went downhill. In the midweek match against Minnesota United FC, the Timbers reserves found themselves outmatched as they tried to play through a stout Loons defense and were repeatedly victimized on the counter. The following Saturday, the Timbers went up on the New England Revolution before the Eastern Conference side were able to storm back into the match with yet more counter-attacking play that put the Timbers on the back foot for much of the match and result in their second loss of the preseason.
The back to back defeats at the hands of Minnesota and New England, sides looking to catch their opponents off-balance and exploit any opening in their defensive schemes, clearly revealed several areas of weakness for the Timbers as they look to transition to a more proactive defensive scheme.
But before exploring those weaknesses, let us take a look at just what it is that the Timbers were doing in the attack during the preseason.
With an attacking corps or Diego Valeri, Sebastian Blanco, Yimmi Chara, and Felipe Mora supported by Diego Chara and Cristhian Paredes out of the midfield as well as Jorge Villafaña and Jorge Moreira at full-back, the Timbers have a group that is comprised of versatile, experienced players, all of whom are capable of swapping their positions on the field as they search for an opening in the opposing defense.
Throughout the preseason it was a common sight to see two Timbers carrying the ball down the flank and looking to overload the opposition fullback. What is special about this is the number of different combinations of players with which the Timbers try to create these overloads. On Saturday’s final match of the preseason, New England fullback Dejuan Jones was forced to deal with Chara and Y. Chara, Y. Chara and Moreira, Valeri and Y. Chara, Mora and Blanco, and more as the Timbers fluidly moved their attackers around the pitch.
This freedom of movement has several effects on the Timbers’ game plan. First, it does have the potential to move around defenders and create openings that a judiciously placed pass or cross could exploit. Second, it allows the Timbers to identify and exploit potential mismatches on the fly without having to reorganize their attack as they are in a constant state of reorganization.
Unfortunately for the team, for all of the advantages of this attacking system, there are disadvantages as well and those are what we saw on display during the preseason. With the players on each wing regularly changing and the fullbacks regularly committing themselves forward into the attack, the Timbers leave significant amounts of space open on their own flanks for their opponents to attack into.
Exacerbating this issue even further is Giovanni Savarese’s pursuit of a high defensive press. While turning over their opposition in the attacking end is an excellent way to accumulate good scoring chances, it also further commits the wingers up the pitch and, much of the time, adds to the unguarded spaces out wide on the flanks.
We saw these spaces exploited in each of the Timbers’ preseason games. The lone goal by the Whitecaps came when Valeri was on the right and was slow to recover defensively. Two of the Loons’ first three goals came when an opposition fullback was able to get in behind their winger and attack the back post. And the first of the Revolution’s three goals came when a run from Teal Bunbury pulled Moreira inside and left Gustavo Bou all alone at the back post while Yimmi Chara, who should have been sliding in to cover, watched from the top of the box.
Those were just the goals that the Timbers conceded. No matter how one watched the Timbers in the preseason, it was plain to see that teams were ready for them and had a plan to exploit these spaces.
There is only one quick fix for these issues: abandon the Timbers’ current system, reign in the attacking support from the fullbacks and midfield, and revert to the bunker-and-counter style of play that the Timbers have used to great but often uninspiring effect in recent seasons.
Which is not to say that the Timbers should cut and run. Savarese’s current approach to the game is demanding both physically and mentally, so it will take some time for the side to really understand who needs to do what where when why how.
Making the right recovery runs, properly marking your man, and knowing when you need to fill in space is something that can only come with time. The Timbers have the skill to implement just such a system. It remains to be seen if they can put together the willpower.
Lately, I’ve been feeling like 2020 might actually be kind of cool and that weird sense of optimism has extended to my thoughts about the Timbers. So after watching the preseason tournament and then actually thinking about the things that I saw, I’ve put together a few points that I predict will be true about the Timbers this year.
Eryk Williamson will have a breakout year
This dude is just so good, I literally could not keep my jaw off the floor while watching him in the preseason. He’s silky on the ball, his passing is incisive, and he’s pretty good at knowing where to stand, too. With Tomás Conechny playing more of his minutes out on the wing these days, it seems like Williamson is poised to get a healthy number of minutes as the third (or maybe second, depending on where Sebastián Blanco is playing) No. 10 in the depth chart. And that’s in part because…
Diego Valeri will play a reduced role
Don’t get me wrong. Valeri is still an incredible player and an 8 goal, 16 assist 2019 season is nothing to scoff at. That said, Valeri also showed some major signs of slowing down last year, and unfortunately for Portland; time’s arrow neither stands still nor reverses, it merely marches forward. Combine what will likely be a physical need to play fewer minutes with no longer being on a designated player contract and it’s not a stretch of the imagination to envision a Valeri that plays closer to 2000 minutes in 2020 than the 2600 minutes he played in 2019. With that in mind…
We’ll see a flat 4-4-2 more than we had
When Diego Valeri is on the field, it’s basically mandatory to play a shape that utilizes a true No. 10. That’s (one reason) why it has made sense for the Timbers to play a diamond midfield when they’ve wanted two strikers on the pitch over the last couple of years. But, as mentioned above, there will almost certainly be times this year where that is not the case.
What the Timbers do have this year is two DP wingers, one DP striker, and two other good to very good strikers. So, imagine a flat 4-4-2 formation with Ebobisse’s hold-up play filling the creative role in the center of the park, and Niezgoda, Blanco, and Y. Chara all running off of him. If I was an opposing defender, that thought might just keep me up at night.
The Timbers will have their best March ever
Everyone knows the Timbers are always bad in March (with the notable exception of 2017 (see below)). In fact, across all MLS regular season matches played in March, the Timbers average an abysmal .85 points per game. It (somehow) gets even worse if we look specifically at the Savarese era, as Gio has only managed to pick up three points in eight March games. That’s .38 points per game.
2019: 0-3-1 (1 pt)
2018: 0-2-2 (2 pts)
2017: 3-1-0 (9 pts)
2016: 1-1-1 (4 pts)
2015: 0-1-3 (3 pts)
2014: 0-2-3 (3 pts)
2013: 0-1-3 (3 pts)
2012: 1-2-1 (4 pts)
2011: 0-2-0 (0 pts)
But this year, I think, will be different. This may be a bold claim, because admittedly, what we saw defensively over the last two preseason matches was, well, not good. However, we also saw a hungry, attacking mentality, and I have a feeling that this team is going to want to make up for the lackluster finish to 2019. The Timbers have five matches this March: Minnesota(Home), Nashville (H), New England(Away), LAFC(A), and Philadelphia(H). My money’s on ten points out of that slate.