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Soccer Timbers

Breaking Down the Timbers’ 2022 Depth Chart

The Portland Timbers are days away from kicking off the 2022 season at home on national television against the New England Revolution.

In ordinary years, this would be cause for great excitement. This year, with the club’s leadership embroiled in controversy over its handling of the Paul Riley coercion and harassment allegations and under investigation over its handling of the Andy Polo abuse allegations, it’s decidedly different.

For many, the joy of attending Timbers matches has been complicated. For some, it’s been, at least for now, erased. The club is set to meet with the leadership of the Timbers Army for the first time since the Riley story broke on March 3, and members of both the local and the national media are pressing for answers on the Polo situation.

It is likely that the start of this, the Timbers’ 12th MLS season, will be overshadowed by events off the field. But the fervent hope of most every supporter is that at some point—preferably some point soon—we can return to talking about soccer.

On the field, the Timbers are in a precarious position. Diego Valeri is gone. Steve Clark is gone. Sebastian Blanco is about to turn 34 and Diego Chará is about to turn 36. Larrys Mabiala will be 35 by playoff time.

Despite the young talent around that trio, the season is shaping up to go one of two directions: a last chance to compete for a championship with the team’s 2017 core minus Valeri, or a transitional year in which that core fades. Here’s a look at where the team is at heading into Opening Day.

GOALKEEPER

The Timbers have enjoyed some very good goalkeeping in their MLS history, but they perhaps never got better than what Clark gave them over the last several seasons: phenomenal shot stopping, very few blunders, and a certain joie de vivre that will be sorely missed this year.

Clark is now in Houston. The Timbers, perhaps because of salary cap issues, did not seem to make a serious play to retain him in free agency., nor did they acquire a clear starting goalkeeper to replace him. That means that, for the foreseeable future, it will be Aljaž Ivačič and David Bingham in goal.

Neither goalkeeper inspires a great deal of confidence. Ivačič, the towering Slovenian, was signed to eventually be the starter back in 2019, but couldn’t beat out Jeff Attinella or Clark over the next three seasons and has looked uneven in his handful of appearances with the first team.

Bingham, meanwhile, the former San Jose and LA Galaxy starter, was out of the league in 2021 and trained with the Timbers before joining the club in the offseason. He hasn’t been an everyday starter since 2019, when he struggled behind a porous Galaxy defense.

The job, considering the club’s investment in him, should be Ivačič’s. He is younger and has more upside than Bingham, though he may not be on a long leash in what seems like a make-or-break year—Giovani Savarese has not shied away from rotating goalkeepers based on form.

Former LA Galaxy II backstop Justin Vom Steeg and homegrown Hunter Sulte are also on the roster.

LEFT BACK

It’s the Claudio Bravo show. The young Argentinian fullback blossomed last season after a difficult beginning to life in MLS, distinguishing himself as a major attacking threat and holding his own defensively down the stretch as well.

Bravo is an excellent player to watch, and at just 24, he has plenty of room left to grow. The Timbers are relying on his durability, because there’s not much behind him on the depth chart—likely just Pablo Bonilla sliding across the backline.

Larrys Mabiala challenges for the ball in MLS Cup. Photo by Matthew Wolfe.
CENTER BACK

The Mabiala/Dario Zuparic tandem dug deep in the fall and winter, just as you would expect from a veteran duo, and delivered the kind of steady, locked-in defensive performances MLS Cup teams always get from their center backs. Both players had standout moments in the playoffs, and Mabiala in particular was tremendous in MLS Cup.

But now both players are hurt to start the season, with identical sports hernia injuries. They’re slated to be back in mid-March, but until then, the Timbers’ depth at this position will be tested.

Bill Tuiloma has stepped into these kinds of positions before, but it’s fair to say that 24-year-old California native Zac McGraw has not. McGraw only started two games last year—games where the Timbers shipped six goals—and it will be a big task for Tuiloma to shepherd the backline in the absence of the two starters. Rookie Justin Rasmussen, signed the day after scoring a banger against Viking FK in preseason, could get minutes as well.

In the bigger picture, there are plenty of reasons for confidence and a few for concern. Mabiala generally goes through periods where he struggles with the pace of play, and neither he nor Zuparic have the kind of speed or agility that clubs increasingly look for in center backs.

This unit has always gotten it done when it’s mattered for the Timbers in recent years, but after conceding 52 goals in 2021 with an excellent goalkeeper behind them, the margins for regular-season error may be thinner this time around. We’ll see how this group holds up.

RIGHT BACK

The Timbers finally, after the beginning of preseason, hammered out a deal to bring last year’s starter, Jose Carlos Van Rankin, back for 2022.

But the structure and length of Van Rankin’s deal—a loan through the summer that the Timbers can extend through the end of the year—is not exactly a vote of confidence. Neither the Timbers nor Van Rankin’s parent club Guadalajara seem sold on the fullback, which is understandable. He was frequently caught out of position and flat-footed defensively last year.

Van Rankin’s precarious position has almost certainly opened the door for Bonilla, who, at 22, has established himself with the first team and is getting looks with the Venezuelan national team. The question for Bonilla is about maturity: in his young MLS career, he’s committed well over a foul per game, averaged a yellow card almost every three games, and was recently sent off in a preseason match. He’s a competitor, which is a good thing, but his performances for the club have been uneven.

Bonilla is six years younger than Van Rankin, considerably cheaper, and still growing as a player. If he wins the job, it’ll make the Timbers’ lives easier. If he doesn’t, Van Rankin’s loan will be extended.

CENTRAL MIDFIELD

Assuming Chará doesn’t fall off a cliff this year, this is a position of real strength for the Timbers.

The captain, who was the best player on the field in MLS Cup two and a half months ago, remains the premier defensive midfielder and one of the most valuable players in the entire league.

Erik Williamson, who was trending in that direction before tearing his ACL in Seattle last summer, figures to slot in next to him once fit in a season that could put him back in contention for a place in Gregg Berhalter’s World Cup squad.

The Timbers have also invested in the highly-rated young Argentinian David Ayala in this spot, who, given their depth at this position, they can afford to integrate slowly and allow to acclimate to MLS without serious pressure, just as Santiago Moreno, another young Designated Player, did last season.

Alongside that trio, Cristhian Paredes significantly raised his stock with the club during the playoff run last year and remains, when he’s locked in, an above-average MLS center mid: skillful on the ball with a good understanding of both attacking and defensive space.

George Fochive may be more of a blunt instrument, but he is now, just as he was during his first spell with the club, a reliable depth piece who can chew up minutes and provide cover for his central midfield partner as a true six.

Savarese can get three of these players into his lineup if he plays a 4-3-3, which, given the strength of the midfield, might make some amount of sense. If it’s the 4-2-3-1, however, competition for the spot next to Chará will be fierce.

Sebastian Blanco. Photo by Matthew Wolfe.
ATTACKERS

Even without a marquee singing to replace the departed Valeri, this should be another position of strength.

With Sebastian Blanco’s return, protracted as it was, the Timbers have four starting-quality attackers: Blanco, Yimmi Chara, Dairon Asprilla, and Santiago Moreno.

None are true playmakers in Valeri’s mold, and all four may be most comfortable on the wing, but their ability to interchange and complement each other gave defenders fits throughout the playoffs and should allow Savarese to throw different looks at different opponents.

Asprilla dramatically elevated his usefulness and fluidity on the ball last year, but his greatest weapon, as always, is his directness and power in the air. He’s physically a handful for defenders, especially fullbacks. Moreno’s speed makes him a handful in a very different way. He was almost unmarkable against Real Salt Lake in the Western Conference Final. Chará is, of course, a workhorse—a positive and a contributor in most every phase of the game.

With all that said: there is no minimizing Blanco’s importance. The Timbers were completely adrift without him last season, averaging 0.9 points per game in games he missed, and absolutely dominant after he returned to the lineup in the summer.

It’s not just Blanco’s attacking threat, which from just about anywhere on the field, in just about any game state, is significant. It’s also that he is very clearly this team’s alpha, a player who reliably changes the feel of games with his presence alone.

There are very few players in MLS who we can say the same of. The Timbers need him healthy, which, given that seemingly every medical team that took a look at his knees this winter raised red flags, is going to make for some very tense moments in the coming months.

Marvin Loría, who played one of the best games of his Timbers career against RSL last time he featured in a competitive match, is back as well, as is Blake Bodily. Savarese will likely find Loría minutes, while Bodily is could be in a do-or-die year if he wants to continue his MLS career.

STRIKER

The Timbers are in an interesting position here: they committed big money to two players, Felipe Mora and Jarosław Niezgoda, who the front office felt could be answers at center forward in a way that Jeremy Ebobisse was apparently not.

Mora will likely miss at least the first month of the season injured, giving Niezgoda, who has made just ten starts over the last two years, his very first run as the clear starting forward. There is no question that the Pole is an instinctual finisher, excellent in the box. It does remain to be seen how active he can be in other phases of play and whether he can affect games and contribute to the attack if he’s not scoring.

Mora, though he ran hot and cold last season, certainly did that. He’s possibly the most complete forward the Timbers have ever had, and even if he doesn’t take over games like Fanendo Adi or Brian Fernandez did, his 18-goals-in-35-starts strike rate speaks for itself.

If they’re healthy, these are valuable, talented players. Whether they justify their combined budget charge and elevate themselves into the league’s top striking tier very much remains to be seen.

Homegrown signing Tega Ikoba figures to make his first team debut during Mora’s absence, and, given the injury history of the two players ahead of him, the Timbers will be hoping he adjusts to life in MLS quickly.

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Soccer Timbers

Portland Timbers Preview Review

After six matches—some of which we saw and some of which we did not—we are starting to get an idea as to who the 2020 Portland Timbers are and who they could be.

On the road against Costa Rican sides Deportivo Saprissa, Municipal Grecia, and C.S. Herediano the Timbers went 3-0 with a combined score of 8-2. Despite four months of hungering for soccer from Timbers fans, little information and even less video from these matches is available to the public. The opposition lineups from those three games against a freshly convened Timbers side remain unknown, but both Saprissa and Herediano are known quantities in CONCACAF: Saprissa took the Montreal Impact to penalties in their Champions’ League matchup earlier this week before falling to the Canadians and Herediano are the 2019 Liga FPD Apertura Champions.

At home against MLS opposition, however, it was a different story. Timbers fans were able to see their side in person at Providence Park during the preseason for the first time in three years, but what they did see was clearly not the finished product.

After the Timbers beat the Vancouver Whitecaps on a penalty kick and a hotly debated ball that was either a lucky cross or an absurd shot (depending on how much faith you have in the killer instinct of Andy Polo), things quickly went downhill. In the midweek match against Minnesota United FC, the Timbers reserves found themselves outmatched as they tried to play through a stout Loons defense and were repeatedly victimized on the counter. The following Saturday, the Timbers went up on the New England Revolution before the Eastern Conference side were able to storm back into the match with yet more counter-attacking play that put the Timbers on the back foot for much of the match and result in their second loss of the preseason.

The back to back defeats at the hands of Minnesota and New England, sides looking to catch their opponents off-balance and exploit any opening in their defensive schemes, clearly revealed several areas of weakness for the Timbers as they look to transition to a more proactive defensive scheme.

Sebastian Blanco holds the ball during the Timbers’ 2020 preseason tournament. Photo by Kris Lattimore.
But before exploring those weaknesses, let us take a look at just what it is that the Timbers were doing in the attack during the preseason.

With an attacking corps or Diego Valeri, Sebastian Blanco, Yimmi Chara, and Felipe Mora supported by Diego Chara and Cristhian Paredes out of the midfield as well as Jorge Villafaña and Jorge Moreira at full-back, the Timbers have a group that is comprised of versatile, experienced players, all of whom are capable of swapping their positions on the field as they search for an opening in the opposing defense. 

Throughout the preseason it was a common sight to see two Timbers carrying the ball down the flank and looking to overload the opposition fullback. What is special about this is the number of different combinations of players with which the Timbers try to create these overloads. On Saturday’s final match of the preseason, New England fullback Dejuan Jones was forced to deal with Chara and Y. Chara, Y. Chara and Moreira, Valeri and Y. Chara, Mora and Blanco, and more as the Timbers fluidly moved their attackers around the pitch.

This freedom of movement has several effects on the Timbers’ game plan. First, it does have the potential to move around defenders and create openings that a judiciously placed pass or cross could exploit. Second, it allows the Timbers to identify and exploit potential mismatches on the fly without having to reorganize their attack as they are in a constant state of reorganization.

Unfortunately for the team, for all of the advantages of this attacking system, there are disadvantages as well and those are what we saw on display during the preseason. With the players on each wing regularly changing and the fullbacks regularly committing themselves forward into the attack, the Timbers leave significant amounts of space open on their own flanks for their opponents to attack into.

Cristhian Paredes looks to pass the ball while Jorge Moreira makes a run. Photo by Kris Lattimore.

Exacerbating this issue even further is Giovanni Savarese’s pursuit of a high defensive press. While turning over their opposition in the attacking end is an excellent way to accumulate good scoring chances, it also further commits the wingers up the pitch and, much of the time, adds to the unguarded spaces out wide on the flanks.

We saw these spaces exploited in each of the Timbers’ preseason games. The lone goal by the Whitecaps came when Valeri was on the right and was slow to recover defensively. Two of the Loons’ first three goals came when an opposition fullback was able to get in behind their winger and attack the back post. And the first of the Revolution’s three goals came when a run from Teal Bunbury pulled Moreira inside and left Gustavo Bou all alone at the back post while Yimmi Chara, who should have been sliding in to cover, watched from the top of the box. 

Those were just the goals that the Timbers conceded. No matter how one watched the Timbers in the preseason, it was plain to see that teams were ready for them and had a plan to exploit these spaces.

There is only one quick fix for these issues: abandon the Timbers’ current system, reign in the attacking support from the fullbacks and midfield, and revert to the bunker-and-counter style of play that the Timbers have used to great but often uninspiring effect in recent seasons.

Which is not to say that the Timbers should cut and run. Savarese’s current approach to the game is demanding both physically and mentally, so it will take some time for the side to really understand who needs to do what where when why how.

Making the right recovery runs, properly marking your man, and knowing when you need to fill in space is something that can only come with time. The Timbers have the skill to implement just such a system. It remains to be seen if they can put together the willpower.

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Soccer Timbers

Zach Kay’s 2020 Timbers Predictions

Lately, I’ve been feeling like 2020 might actually be kind of cool and that weird sense of optimism has extended to my thoughts about the Timbers. So after watching the preseason tournament and then actually thinking about the things that I saw, I’ve put together a few points that I predict will be true about the Timbers this year.

Eryk Williamson will have a breakout year

This dude is just so good, I literally could not keep my jaw off the floor while watching him in the preseason. He’s silky on the ball, his passing is incisive, and he’s pretty good at knowing where to stand, too. With
Tomás Conechny playing more of his minutes out on the wing these days, it seems like Williamson is poised to get a healthy number of minutes as the third (or maybe second, depending on where
Sebastián Blanco is playing) No. 10 in the depth chart. And that’s in part because…

Diego Valeri will play a reduced role

Don’t get me wrong. Valeri is still an incredible player and an 8 goal, 16 assist 2019 season is nothing to scoff at. That said, Valeri also showed some major signs of slowing down last year, and unfortunately for Portland; time’s arrow neither stands still nor reverses, it merely marches forward. Combine what will likely be a physical need to play fewer minutes with no longer being on a designated player contract and it’s not a stretch of the imagination to envision a Valeri that plays closer to 2000 minutes in 2020 than the 2600 minutes he played in 2019. With that in mind…

We’ll see a flat 4-4-2 more than we had

When Diego Valeri is on the field, it’s basically mandatory to play a shape that utilizes a true No. 10. That’s (one reason) why it has made sense for the Timbers to play a diamond midfield when they’ve wanted two strikers on the pitch over the last couple of years. But, as mentioned above, there will almost certainly be times this year where that is not the case.

What the Timbers do have this year is two DP wingers, one DP striker, and two other good to very good strikers. So, imagine a flat 4-4-2 formation with Ebobisse’s hold-up play filling the creative role in the center of the park, and Niezgoda, Blanco, and Y. Chara all running off of him. If I was an opposing defender, that thought might just keep me up at night.

The Timbers will have their best March ever

Everyone knows the Timbers are always bad in March (with the notable exception of 2017 (see below)). In fact, across all MLS regular season matches played in March, the Timbers average an abysmal .85 points per game. It (somehow) gets even worse if we look specifically at the Savarese era, as Gio has only managed to pick up three points in eight March games. That’s .38 points per game.

  • 2019: 0-3-1 (1 pt)
  • 2018: 0-2-2 (2 pts)
  • 2017: 3-1-0 (9 pts)
  • 2016: 1-1-1 (4 pts)
  • 2015: 0-1-3 (3 pts)
  • 2014: 0-2-3 (3 pts)
  • 2013: 0-1-3 (3 pts)
  • 2012: 1-2-1 (4 pts)
  • 2011: 0-2-0 (0 pts)

But this year, I think, will be different. This may be a bold claim, because admittedly, what we saw defensively over the last two preseason matches was, well, not good. However, we also saw a hungry, attacking mentality, and I have a feeling that this team is going to want to make up for the lackluster finish to 2019. The Timbers have five matches this March: Minnesota(Home), Nashville (H), New England(Away), LAFC(A), and Philadelphia(H). My money’s on ten points out of that slate.